Friday, November 7, 2008

Cash Machine U Preview

When TAMU has the ball - Jerrod Johnson seems to have figured it out behind center for the Aggies. In 3 of the last 4 games, he's completed 66+% of his passes. Johnson's favorite targest are Ryan Tannehill and Jeff Turner. Look for them to have nice stats against the Sooner D this week. The Sooners seem to have figured it out a little bit last week against the Huskers, but frankly the D is surviving on turnovers and 3rd down defense at this point. Johnson has not thrown an interception since the Okie State game on Oct 4, when he threw two pick sixes.

When OU has the ball - The Aggies struggle on D this year, ranking 104th in total defense in 102nd in scoring defense. They don't get much pressure on the passer and they haven't forced a lot of turnovers. This doesn't bode well against the Sooners, who've been quite explosive this year. DeMarco's running it well, and Sam's throwing it well. I think the Sooners will score a bit.

Overall - this game will be closer than you think. Odd stat for you: in the five games Stoops has coached against the Aggies in Norman, the average score is 47-12, with the Sooners winning all 5. The average score in Collge Station is 30-28, with the Sooners going 3-1. The largest MOV in the four games has been the 42-35 Sooner victory in 2004. I expect the Sooners to win this one as well, but I don't expect them to win by double digits. Final Score prediction: 42-35, Sooners.

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