Prediction for the Tech Game

I decided this morning to be a little bit of "analysis" on the Red Raider game. Seems like Tech is always scoring lots of points, but those points don't translate into much against the Sooners. Let's take a look at the Leach era.

Year	Ave Pts In Reg Season	Std Dev	Pts Ag OU
2000	26.4	14.9	13
2001	37.3	17.1	13
2002	37.0	16.0	15
2003	44.5	13.2	25
2004	37.6	17.2	13
2005	44.0	20.4	23
2006	32.2	17.1	24
2007	42.5	15.9

TT has yet to obtain their average points scored against the Sooners. In 5 of the 7 years, their score has been less than the average minus a standard deviation, with the exceptions being 2000 and 2006, the lowest scoring seasons for the Red Raiders. Now, look at similar data for the Sooners.

Year	Ave Pts in Reg Season	Std Dev	Pts Ag TT
2000	40.1	13.9	27
2001	32.5	14.0	30
2002	38.0	12.1	60
2003	47.6	15.5	56
2004	36.3	12.1	28
2005	28.5	11.2	21
2006	30.6	12.2	34
2007	45.0	17.7

OU has exceeded their average points three of the seven years. The other four years have been within the standard deviation of the average score.

All this to say the Sooners have had more success defending the Red Raiders and been able to control the game. This shouldn't be a big shocker, the Sooners have been 6-1 against the Red Raiders since Leach left.

I expect this form to hold, that the Sooners will win 28-24.