Wednesday, October 28, 2009

The Train Wreck that is the Big 12 North

Big 12 North (MAC Southwest) standings through Oct 24:

Willie and Friends 3-1
Iowa State 2-2
Phog U 1-2
Bugeaters 1-2
Dan Hawkins Farewell Tour 1-2
Missouri 0-3

MAC Southwest future games:
Oklahoma beats Kansas State
Missouri beats Colorado
Nebraska beats Baylor
Tech beats Kansas
Texas A&M beats Iowa State
Texas A&M beats Colorado
Oklahoma State beats Iowa State
Kansas State beats Kansas
Missouri beats Baylor
Oklahoma beats Nebraska
Iowa State beats Colorado
Kansas beats Nebraska
Kansas State beats Missouri
Missouri beats Iowa State
Oklahoma State beats Colorado
Nebraska beats Kansas State
Texas beats Kansas
Nebraska beats Colorado
Kansas beats Missouri

If I'm correct on this (I'm 12-8 straight up from my beginning of the year predictions, so I'm probably not), this means K-State wins the MAC Southwest title with a 5-3 conference record and a 7-5 overall record. Records throughout the Big 12 north would be:

KSU 5-3 / 7-5
Neb 4-4 / 7-5
ISU 3-5 / 6-6
KU 3-5 / 7-5
Mizzou 3-5 / 7-5
CU - 1-7 / 2-10

Just a couple of weird bounces of the ball and you could have :
1) KSU go 4-4, win the North Division, lose the Big 12 championship game and be 6-7, and not eligible for a bowl;
2) Colorado could go 4-1 in remaining conference play and also be in the same situation
3) KSU, Nebraska and KU could all be in a 3 way tie atop the North with 4-4 conference records. Take the above predictions, and alter three games: have KSU a) lose to KU; b) lose to Mizzou and c) beat Nebraska and you're there. I have not idea what the tiebreaker scenario is then.
4) Missouri has 4 Big 12 north games and a clash against Baylor left. They could run the table and win the Big 12 North after starting out 0-3.

1 comment:

jaydou said...

You have once again hit the nail on the head...